RECAP: Geography, Institutional Weakness, Political Incentives of Global Powers and Historical Patterns of Prolonged Instability

The seven fault lines of how conflicts in Ukraine, Sudan and Myanmar are reshaping a fractured world. As wars drag on from Eastern Europe to the Horn of Africa and Southeast Asia, a growing number of geopolitical analysts argue that the world is no longer witnessing isolated national crises, but the slow erosion of the international order that emerged after the Cold War.

Against the backdrop of worldwide instability, a controversial but increasingly influential theory is advanced by a Canadian educator, commentator, political strategist and academician – Professor Jiang Xueqin; who describes Ukraine, Sudan, Myanmar, Haiti, Ethiopia, Yemen and the Democratic Republic of Congo as “structural fault lines” of a global system under strain.

Rather than predicting a sudden world war, Jiang warns of something slower and potentially more destabilizing; a prolonged era of fragmented conflicts, humanitarian collapse, proxy rivalries and diplomatic paralysis. He says, the danger is not one catastrophic explosion, but a grinding unraveling that stretches across generations.

Global conflicts and energy supply disruptions—particularly those linked to the U.S.-Israel-Iran confrontation and security threats to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz—are intensifying economic and humanitarian pressures worldwide. Beyond the broader geopolitical fallout, developing economies and vulnerable households are bearing the brunt of rising import costs, supply chain disruptions, and inflationary pressures.

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